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Prospects for the Small Satellite Market

Prospects for the Small Satellite Market

A global supply and demand analysis of government and commercial satellites up to 500 kg.  | Published July 2016

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Prospects for the Small Satellite Market presents the various factors that will drive/inhibit growth in demand for small satellites over the next 10 years. This report considers satellites by four mass categories, six regions, five satellite applications and five manufacturer typologies.

Extensive Figures & Analysis for the Coming Decade

All Euroconsult research has, at its core, data derived from over 30 years of tracking all levels of the satellite/space value chain. To this we add dozens of dedicated industry interviews each year, along with the continual refinement of our data models, and the collection and interpretation of company press releases and financial filings. Our consultants have decades of experience interpreting and analyzing our proprietary databases in light of the broader value chain.

When you purchase research from Euroconsult, you receive thousands of data points and the expert interpretation of what this means for specific verticals and sectors of the satellite value chain, including forecasts based on years of data and highly refined models.

This report contains thousands of data points.

 



We are on the cusp of a major revolution for the space sector and overall space ecosystem, as more than 3,600 smallsats are expected to be launched over the next ten years, a significant increase from the previous decade. The total market value of these satellites is anticipated to be $22 billion (manufacture and launch), a 76% increase over that of 2006-2015. This rate of growth is unprecedented for the space sector and will bring about fundamental changes as both new and established industry players attempt to increase their capabilities in order to gain market share.

Including all third-party and in-house manufacturers, around 200 organizations built a smallsat between 2006 and 2015; the coming decade shows a similar pattern. Smallsat suppliers are entering the industry to capitalize on demand with flexible COTS equipment, bringing down costs and development times. Larger integrators focused on larger missions do not necessarily have the capacity to create these smaller, nominally lower-cost solutions at a profit or have the platforms available to support small mission development.

In the next decade, launch services are expected to generate $5.3 billion, a 76% increase over the previous decade. Small-lift vehicles in development will add further specialized supply. Prices from Firefly, Rocket Lab and Virgin Galactic are not expected to undercut existing supply prices. However, with smallsat operators impacted by the launch bottleneck and affected by delays in ridesharing and the like, despite the higher price per kg, the benefit of quicker and dedicated access to space could be quite attractive for operators.


Report elements:

  • Over 40 pages, including numerous graphs & tables
  • Thousands of data points
  • Price starting at € 4,000

The forecast of smallsats to be launched over the next ten years (2016-2025) has been built on the basis of a qualitative and quantitative analysis conducted from two sources:

  • A dedicated database with all satellites between 1 kg and 500 kg of launch mass that have been launched between 2006 and 2015 and are now in development or forecast to be launched between 2016 and 2025. The database is critical for characterizing the changes in demand for smallsats over the next decade.
  • A combination of primary and secondary research to characterize the changes that have occurred and that may occur in the industry, including different funding bodies of smallsats systems (civilian, defense and commercial organizations) and the industry structure to support these evolutions in both satellite manufacture and launch

List of Graps and Tables:

01- SMALLSAT SOLUTIONS

  • A DECADE OF SMALLSAT LAUNCHES BY NUMBER OF SATELLITES: 2006-2015 & 2016-2025
  • A DECADE OF SMALLSAT LAUNCHES BY MARKET VALUE: 2006-2015 & 2016-2025
  • UNIT VERSUS MASS COMPARISON, 2006-2015 & 2016-2025
  • TWO DECADES OF SMALLSATS: BY MASS
  • SAMPLE LAUNCHES BY MASS
  • TWO DECADES OF SMALLSATS: BY CLIENT
  • AVERAGE UNIT COST: DECADAL/CLIENT COMPARISON ($MILLION)
  • TWO DECADES OF SMALLSATS: BY APPLICATION
  • AVERAGE UNIT COST: DECADAL/APPLICATION COMPARISON ($MILLION)
  • TWO DECADES OF SMALLSATS: BY REGION
  • AVERAGE UNIT COST: DECADAL/REGIONAL COMPARISON ($MILLION)


02- TECHNOLOGY DRIVERS

  •  NEXT DECADE OF SMALLSAT SATCOM LAUNCHES (2016-2025): SATELLITES TO BE LAUNCHED BY MASS, VALUE OF SATELLITES TO BE LAUNCHED BY MASS
  • CLIENT STATUS BY MASS: 2016-2025
  • NEXT DECADE OF SMALLSAT EO LAUNCHES (2016-2025): SATELLITES TO BE LAUNCHED BY MASS, VALUE OF SATELLITES TO BE LAUNCHED BY MASS
  • CLIENT STATUS BY MASS: 2016-2025
  • PROFILES OF SATCOM CONSTELLATIONS
  • PROFILES OF EARTH OBSERVATION CONSTELLATIONS
  • SATELLITE PLATFORMS BY MASS


03-SATELLITE MANUFACTURING

  • SMALLSAT MANUFACTURING MARKET VALUE BY REGION: 2006-2015 & 2016-2025
  • SMALLSAT MANUFACTURING MARKET VALUE BY REGION: SATCOM 2006-2025
  • SMALLSAT MANUFACTURING MARKET VALUE BY REGION: EO 2006-2025
  • SMALLSAT MANUFACTURING BY SUPPLIER: 2006-2015 & 2016-2025
  • SATELLITES LAUNCHED/TO BE LAUNCHED BY TYPE OF SUPPLIER: 2006-2025
  • MANUFACTURING IN-HOUSE VERSUS OUTSOURCING: 2016-2025
  • UPCOMING DEDICATED SMALLSAT SUPPLIERS
  • MAP OF GLOBAL SUPPLIERS

04-LAUNCH SERVICES

  • TWO DECADES OF SMALLSAT LAUNCHES
  • LAUNCH VEHICLE TYPE BY DECADE
  • LAUNCH MARKET VALUE BY MASS CATEGORY: 2006-2025
  • SATELLITES <50 KG LAUNCHED & TO BE LAUNCHED, 2006-2015 & 2016-2025
  • SATELLITES >50 KG LAUNCHED & TO BE LAUNCHED, 2006-2015 & 2016-2025
  • SPECIFIC PRICE RANGE TO SSO FOR NINE LAUNCH VEHICLES
  • SPECIFIC PRICES INTO SSO FOR TWO LAUNCH CATEGORIES
  • LAUNCH BROKERING
  • UPCOMING DEDICATED SMALLSAT LAUNCH SERVICE

 


01- SMALLSAT SOLUTIONS

  • The last decade of smallsats
  • Looking to the future
  • Mass comparison
  • Satellites launched by mass category
  • Satellites launched by client
  • Satellites launched by client: Manufacture & launch market value
  • Satellites launched application
  • Satellites launched by application: Manufacture & launch market value
  • Satellites launched by region
  • Satellites launched by region: Manufacture & launch market value

 
02- TECHNOLOGY DRIVERS

  • Drivers overview
  • Satcom focus: Why smallsats?
  • EO focus: Why smallsats?
  • Constellation focus
  • Multimission satellite platforms
  • Further technology enablers
  • Technology summary
  • Ground segment implications
     

03- SATELLITE MANUFACTURING

  • Manufacturing market value by region
  • Manufacturing market value by organization
  • To build in-house?
  • Focus on upcoming suppliers
  • Map of global suppliers

 

04-LAUNCH SERVICES

  • Satellites launched by orbit
  • Launch services market value
  • Main launch service suppliers by mass category (<50 kg)
  • Main launch service suppliers by mass category (>50 kg)
  • Price points for launch
  • Launch brokering
  • Focus on upcoming suppliers

 

 

 

Editor-in-chief
Adam Keith, Managing Director, Euroconsult Canada

Development Team

Maxime Puteaux, Consultant
Sunil Manjunath, Consultant
Badia Belkouchi, Consultant

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