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High Throughput Satellites: Vertical Market Analysis & Forecasts Maximize

High Throughput Satellites: Vertical Market Analysis & Forecasts

High Throughput Satellites: Vertical Market Analysis & Forecasts. A vertical market analysis of major drivers, strategic issues and demand take-up for HTS. | Published June 2017

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High Throughput Satellites: Vertical Market Analysis & Forecasts assesses the demand take-up profiles of HTS capacity within seven key vertical markets: Consumer Broadband, Civil Government & Enterprise Networks, Cellular Backhaul & Trunking, Aero In-Flight Connectivity, Maritime, Military Satellite Communications, and Video Services. The report highlights the evolution of HTS systems and architectures over the last decade. In addition, it identifies and assesses the HTS investment plans of all satellite operators. All vertical market forecasts are built bottom-up and provide an overview of projected market take-up by region and system type (GEO-HTS Ka, GEO-HTS Ku, NGSO-HTS) until 2025.

Highlights from the report:

The total committed investment from the 30 satellite operators in HTS systems has reached nearly $19 billion. Compared to the 36 launches of GEO-HTS systems over the past decade, another ~100 GEO-HTS systems are expected to launch from 2017 to 2025, at an average of 11 launches per year. Of these ~100 GEO-HTS systems, roughly 60 have yet to be officially contracted and are still open to the market.

After relatively low net additions of HTS supply in 2015 and 2016, due in part to slippage of launch schedules, capacity supply is now set to more than double to nearly 2,000 Gbps by 2018, reaching roughly 3,600 Gbps by 2020. Nevertheless, the growth of GEO-HTS is to be overshadowed by the emergence of NGSO constellation projects. NGSO-HTS constellation projects are building momentum, promising massive volumes of capacity supply, low latency and global (or near-global) coverage. While it is highly unlikely that all will come to fruition, NGSO-HTS projects such as the continued expansion of SES' O3b fleet of MEO satellites, OneWeb, SpaceX, Telesat and LeoSat would combine to account for over $20 billion of required investment capital and add upwards of 40 Tbps of supply.

Total HTS capacity lease revenues are forecasted to reach more than $6 billion by 2025, generating over $36 billion in aggregate revenues over the period. As a sign of strong underlying and elastic demand, this impressive revenue growth is expected to be achieved despite the confluence of factors combining to drive capacity prices substantially lower, including growing supply, long-term bulk contracts and an increasingly commoditized market for telecom network services.

Report Elements:

  • Over 70 pages
  • Graphs & tables incorporated into every page
  • Comprehensive digital files - Including all forecasts in Excel files
  • Thousands of data points
  • Price starting at € 4,000


Highlights of the executive report:

  • Highlights the evolution of HTS systems & architectures over the last decade
  • HTS system launches & order forecasts
  • Impact assessment of LEO constellations
  • Identifies & assesses the HTS investment plans of all satellite operators
  • Projected take-up profile by frequency band of each vertical market
  • Bottom-up vertical market forecasts/projected market take-up by region and system type (GEO-HTS Ka, GEO-HTS Ku, NGSO-HTS) until 2025; vertical markets include:
    • Consumer Broadband
    • Civil Government & Enterprise Networks
    • Military Satellite Communications
    • Cellular Backhaul & Trunking
    • Aero In-Flight Communications
    • Maritime Communications
    • Video Services


Methodology

Analysis, data and estimates found in the report rely on two complementary approaches:

  • In-depth analysis containing interviews with over 20 primary stakeholders from around the globe.
  • Secondary research includes a review of hard-to-obtain public information. Further, we relied heavily on our continuous research of the satellite sector from recurring publications, including reports such as Satellites to be Built & Launched, Satellite Communications & Broadcasting Markets Survey (SCBMS), and Aero IFEC.


Who will benefit from this report:

  • Satellite Operators
  • Banks & Investors
  • Service Providers
  • Equipment Manufacturers
  • Satellite Manufacturers
  • Government Agencies

 

 

EVOLUTION OF HTS SYSTEMS & ARCHITECTURES

  • HTS versus regular satellites
  • World map of HTS supply for 2016 and 2019
  • Evolution of supply forecast
  • HTS architectures overview
  • GEO-HTS system launches and order forecasts
  • NGSO-HTS procurement and launches
  • HTS architecture trade-offs
  • HTS architectures flexible payloads


BENCHMARK OF OPERATORS’ STRATEGIES

  • Operator investment strategies : HTS architecture
  • Operator investment strategies: Supply and geographic breakdown
  • Operator investment strategies: Number of beams
  • Operator investment strategies: Partnerships
  • Operator investment strategies: Vertical market focus
  • Economic model for the operator
  • HTS systems cost per bit comparison
  • HTS business case assessment
  • Vertical market fit
  • NGSO-HTS constellation overview
  • MEO-HTS business case assessment - O3b Networks
  • LEO constellations - Benchmark
  • LEO constellations - OneWeb overview
  • LEO constellations - Telesat overview
  • LEO constellations - LeoSat overview


CONSOLIDATED & REGIONAL MARKET FORECASTS

  • The HTS market in numbers
  • HTS capacity pricing
  • Consolidated market forecasts – demand & supply
  • Consolidated market forecasts – capacity revenues
  • Consolidated market forecasts – supply & frequency band analysis
  • Consolidated market forecasts  Non-geostationary HTS systems
  • Regional market forecasts : North America, Latin America, Europe, Russia & Central Asia, Middle East & Africa, Asia Pacific and Oceans
     

VERTICAL MARKET FOCUS

  • Consumer Broadband 
  • Civil Government & Enterprise Networks
  • Military Satellite Communications
  • Cellular Backhaul & Trunking
  • Aero In-Flight Connectivity
  • Maritime  Communications
  • Video Services

Editor:

Nathan de Ruiter, Managing Director, Euroconsult Canada

Development Team:

Brent Prokosh, Senior Consultant

Sunil Manjunath, Consultant

Noubar Tedjirian, Consultant

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