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Satellite-Based Earth Observation: Market Prospects to 2025

Satellite-Based Earth Observation: Market Prospects to 2025. The only source for comprehensive industry analysis & forecasts in the growing EO sector. | Published September 2016

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Now in its 9th edition, Satellite-Based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2025 is the only report providing industry forecasts, assessment of business opportunities and analysis of the entire civil & commercial value chain for this growing segment of the satellite industry. It includes a detailed breakdown of application sectors within each region along with consolidated forecasts per application sector and per region

Highlights from the report:

163 satellites (>50kg) were launched for civil and commercial Earth observation (excluding meteorology) over 2006-2015. These were launched for entities in 35 countries and generated $18.4 billion in manufacturing market revenues. Most of these satellites were launched by government operators to support policy objectives spanning climate change, sustainable development and industrial support. In addition, EO remains the primary application for emerging space programs; growing funding into these programs is a key driver for overall investment growth. In 2015 civil government investment topped $10 billion for the first time.

The EO industry is going through a significant supply increase. Over the next decade, 419 satellites are expected to be launched generating $35.5 billion in manufacturing revenues. Significant growth in the number of commercial satellites launched in constellation is expected. When the number of satellites <50kg (such as the Planet and Spire constellations) are added, the number of supply solutions expands even further. As supply will increase faster than the demand for commercial data and services, some price pressure is expected to result. As well, operators will need to better differentiate themselves in the marketplace as to the capabilitites of their respective systems.

The commercial data market totaled $1.7 billion in 2015 and is anticipated to total $3 billion in 2025. Ongoing economic unrest in key Latin America countries and Russia, as well as lower oil and gas prices, are having an impact, as does anticipated price reductions for $/km2 of EO data. Nevertheless, the industry continues to develop positively. In the short term, growth is expected to continue to be driven by defense, with ongoing regional unrest and the limited ability of countries to operate capable image intelligence systems being the main driving factors. Further applications such as in the maritime, infrastructure and resources monitoring sectors are expected to support growth in the longer term.

The value-added services market reached $3.2 billion in 2015 and is growing at a faster rate than the data market alone (11% 5-year CAGR). Key markets for value-adding services do not mirror those for commercial data sales. Defense, while representing 61% of the commercial data market, represents only 15% of the VAS market; conversely, infrastructure projects (such as cartography, cadaster, etc.) are only 10% of the commercial data market, but 33% of the value-added market. The reasoning for this is relatively straightforward; defense end-users purchase data with much value-added analytics performed in-house. On the other hand, lower-cost, coarser resolution and geolocation accuracy data can be leveraged with value-adding to form higher value products and services. This approach is expected in emerging location-based applications - the focus of upcoming satellite constellations. While the data may be lower-cost, it will be able to build applications based on high frequency change detection with the focus on the product or service delivery over purely data sales.

New in the 2016 edition:

  • Introducing new valuation & forecast of the value-added services market
  • New format and layout

 

Strategic Issues & Forecasts

  • Current & forecast market situation to 2025, full assessment of challenges, risks & growth drivers
  • Assessment of commercial opportunities including commercial data demand by data typology & sector
  • Assessment of commercial opportunities by satellite manufacturing

 

Detailed Value Chain Analysis

  • Assessment of opportunities & challenges across the industry
  • Analysis of government investment, operators, distributors & service providers

 

EO Data Demand

  • Broadened analysis of data demand & requirements; drivers & risks for growth
  • Opportunities for data & services growth across regions

 

Satellites Launched & Forecast

  • Launches from 2006-2015
  • Expected launches through 2025
  • Satellite imaging characteristics
  • Operator typology
  • Prime manufacturer/launch service provider/uncontracted satellite missions

 

Application Regional Analysis

  • Detailed breakdown of application sectors within each region
  • Consolidated forecasts per application sector & per region

 

 


 



 

01 STRATEGIC ISSUES & FORECASTS

  • Earth observation satellite launch status: The last 10 years
  • Earth observation satellite launch status: The future decade
  • Earth observation emerging-program focus
  • Earth observation government focus
  • Earth observation commercial focus

 

SMALLSATS & THE NEW SPACE ENVIRONMENT

  • Smallsats & the new space environment
  • Increasing competition in the new space context

 

COMMERCIAL DATA & SERVICES DEMAND

  • Data requirements by application
  • Commercial data demand: Current situation
  • Commercial data demand: Forecast
  • Commercial data pricing
  • Development of value-added services: Current service environment
  • Development of value-added services: Evolutions in the traditional services model
  • Development of value-added services: First forecast scenario
  • Impact of new supply: Scenarios for new space solutions

 

POLICY & REGULATION

  • Policy & law: Overview
  • Policy & law: U.S. focus
  • Policy & law: Further supporting policies
  • Policy & law: Summary of national frameworks

 

MARKET DRIVERS & CHALLENGES

  • Drivers & risks along the value chain

 

02 THE INDUSTRY

  • Value chain summary: Investment & upstream
  • Value chain summary: Operations & downstream

 

SATELLITE MANUFACTURING MARKET

  • Manufacturing market: Overview (non-meteorology)
  • Manufacturing market: Earth observation (non-meteorology)
  • Manufacturing market: Focus on export opportunities
  • Manufacturing market: Meteorology

 

SATELLITE LAUNCH SERVICES MARKET

  • Launch services market

 

PRIVATE ENTERPRISE SUPPLY SOLUTIONS

  • The commercial data market
  • Highlights of the previous year in commercial supply
  • Profiles of Earth observation commercial operators:
    • DigitalGlobe
    • Airbus Defence & Space
    • MDA GSI
    • ImageSat
    • DMC International Imaging (DMCii)
  • Commercially operated satellites
  • Profiles of Earth observation new space:
    • Planet
    • OmniEarth
    • UrtheCast
    • ICEYE
    • Terra Bella
    • BlackSky Global
    • Hera Systems
    • Satellogic
  • Commercial meteorology initiatives
  • Commercial hyperspectral solutions
  • New space commercially operated satellites

 

DATA & SERVICES DISTRIBUTION

  • Typologies of commercial data distribution
  • Earth observation commercial data: Distributors by region
  • Direct from the operators

 

GOVERNMENT EO PROGRAMS

  • Government supply solutions
  • Earth observation programs:
    • United States
    • European Space Agency (ESA)
    • European Union
    • France
    • Germany
    • Italy
    • China
    • Japan
    • India
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • Russia
    • Spain
    • South Korea
    • Turkey
    • Other Europe
    • Developing programs
  • Meteorology programs:
    • NOAA
    • EUMETSAT
    • Other programs

 

03 DEMAND FOR EARTH OBSERVATION SOLUTIONS: BY SECTOR

  • Sector demand overview
  • Data requirements by key applications
  • Sector demand:
    • Defense
    • Infrastructure
    • Natural resources monitoring
    • Maritime
    • Location-based services
    • Disaster management
    • Energy
    • Environment monitoring

 

04 DEMAND FOR EARTH OBSERVATION SOLUTIONS: BY REGION

  • Regional demand overviiew
  • Regional demand:
    • North America
    • Europe
    • Latin America
    • Middle East
    • South East Asia & Oceania
    • Rest of Asia
    • Russia & CIS
    • Africa

Editor-In-Chief:

Adam Keith, Director, Space & Earth Observation

Development Team:

Natalia Larrea Brito, Consultant
Sunil Manjunath, Consultant

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